Mavenir Recebe Relatório da O-RAN ALLIANCE de Agregação de Espectro em Implantações de Multifornecedores

RICHARDSON, Texas, Oct. 29, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) —  A Mavenir, fornecedora de infraestrutura de rede nativa na nuvem que está criando o futuro das redes, recebeu hoje a publicação de um novo Relatório Técnico da O–RAN ALLIANCE, ‘Spectrum Aggregation for Multi–Vendor Deployments’, que avalia várias técnicas de agregação de espectro e propõe um suporte de especificação de interface aberta entre DUs para agregação de operadoras em implantações de multifornecedores.

O relatório da O–RAN ALLIANCE – que foi criado e liderado pela Mavenir – estabelece os cenários práticos para a agregação de espectro em equipamentos de multifornecedores de equipamentos de rede comparando diferentes abordagens, e inclui uma recomendação para o desenvolvimento de especificações para agregação de operadoras na implantação de RAN de multifornecedores. A solução de agregação de operadoras usando uma interface aberta entre DUs contou com o apoio significativo de operadores e fornecedores em busca do desenvolvimento de especificações dentro da O–RAN ALLIANCE.

Comentando o relatório, o Dr. Sridhar Rajagopal, Vice–Presidente Sênior, Tecnologias de Acesso da Mavenir, e relator do relatório técnico, disse: “Este relatório da O–RAN ALLIANCE, com seu oportuno conjunto de recomendações sobre agregação de operadoras de multifornecedores, não poderia vir em um momento mais crucial para a Open RAN, com o aumento das discussões de espectro para a expansão das implantações de 5G e com 6G no horizonte. A padronização da interface entre DUs para agregação das operadoras de multifornecedores irá remover a adesão de um único fornecedor e será um divisor de águas para a Open RAN.”

A agregação de operadoras em todo o espectro disponível é uma das principais considerações das operadoras para maximizar a largura de banda, aumentar a taxa de transferência e aprimorar o desempenho da rede. Uma operadora recebe novo espectro durante a venda de espectro regulatório ao longo do tempo. Em tal situação, existe um forte desejo da operadora de combinar o novo espectro com o seu espectro existente usando a agregação de transportadoras.

No entanto, não há uma interface padronizada aberta que exista hoje para a agregação de operadoras entre dois fornecedores, criando a adesão do fornecedor às operadoras para todas as futuras expansões de espectro. Com isso, as operadoras são forçadas a confiar nos seus incumbentes para expandir o espectro e perdem o poder de negociação e o controle da evolução da rede e, ao mesmo tempo, se tornam dependentes de recursos, desempenho e cronogramas ditados pelos seus incumbentes. Interfaces proprietárias para agregação de transportadoras existem desde os dias de LTE para a agregação das transportadoras em implantações e são bem compreendidas nas implementações. Embora uma interface aberta para agregação de transportadoras tenha sido proposta várias vezes em corpos padrão, como o 3GPP, por muitos operadores, ela não foi bem–sucedida devido à resistência dos fornecedores tradicionais. Uma especificação aberta para o suporte da agregação das operadoras de multifornecedores abrirá ainda mais o ecossistema 5G e fornecerá um caminho para novos recursos e serviços de baixa latência para 6G, permitindo a comunicação em tempo real não existente entre DUs hoje em dia.

Notas aos Editores:

Relatório técnico da O–RAN ALLIANCE, ‘Spectrum Aggregation for Multi–Vendor Deployments’, agora disponível para download: https://specifications.o–ran.org/download?id=715

Sobre a Mavenir

A Mavenir está estabelecendo hoje o futuro das redes com soluções nativas da nuvem e habilitadas para IA, que são ecológicas por design, capacitando as operadoras a obter os benefícios do 5G e alcançar redes inteligentes, automatizadas e programáveis. Como pioneira da Open RAN e uma comprovada disruptora revolucionária do setor, as soluções premiadas da Mavenir fornecem automação e monetização em redes móveis em todo o mundo, acelerando a transformação da rede de software para mais de 300 provedores de serviços de comunicações em mais de 120 países, que atendem a mais de 50% dos assinantes de todo o mundo. Para mais informação, visite www.mavenir.com

Contato com a Mídia

Contatos de RP da Mavenir:
Emmanuela Spiteri
PR@mavenir.com


GLOBENEWSWIRE (Distribution ID 9263732)

Mavenir begrüßt den Bericht der O-RAN ALLIANCE zur Spektrumaggregation in Multi-Vendor-Implementierungen

RICHARDSON, Texas, Oct. 29, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Mavenir, der Netzwerksoftware–Anbieter, der die Zukunft von Netzwerken mit cloudnativer Software gestaltet, begrüßt die Veröffentlichung eines neuen technischen Berichts der O–RAN ALLIANCE mit dem Titel „Spectrum Aggregation for Multi–Vendor Deployments“. Dieser Bericht analysiert verschiedene Techniken zur Spektrumaggregation und schlägt eine offene Schnittstellenspezifikation zur Unterstützung der Carrier Aggregation zwischen DUs in Multi–Vendor–Umgebungen vor.

Der O–RAN ALLIANCE–Bericht, initiiert und geleitet von Mavenir, beschreibt praktische Szenarien für die Spektrumaggregation über Geräte verschiedener Netzwerkbetreiber. Er vergleicht unterschiedliche Ansätze und enthält Empfehlungen für die Entwicklung von Spezifikationen zur Carrier Aggregation in Multi–Vendor–RAN–Implementierungen. Die Carrier Aggregation–Lösung, die eine offene Schnittstelle zwischen DUs nutzt, hat erhebliche Unterstützung von Betreibern und Anbietern erhalten, um die Entwicklung von Spezifikationen innerhalb der O–RAN ALLIANCE voranzutreiben.

Dr. Sridhar Rajagopal, Senior Vice President Access Technologies bei Mavenir und Leiter des technischen Berichts, äußerte sich dazu wie folgt: „Der Bericht der O–RAN ALLIANCE mit wichtigen Empfehlungen zur Carrier Aggregation in Multi–Vendor–Umgebungen kommt zu einem äußerst entscheidenden Zeitpunkt für Open RAN. Die Diskussionen über das Spektrum zur Erweiterung von 5G–Implementierungen gehen weiter, während 6G am Horizont erscheint. Die Standardisierung der Schnittstelle zwischen DUs für die Carrier Aggregation in Multi–Vendor–Umgebungen wird die Abhängigkeit von einzelnen Anbietern verringern und einen entscheidenden Wandel für Open RAN bewirken.“

Die Carrier Aggregation über das verfügbare Spektrum ist eine zentrale Überlegung für Betreiber, um die Bandbreite zu maximieren, den Datendurchsatz zu erhöhen und die Netzwerkleistung zu verbessern. Betreiber erwerben im Laufe der Zeit neues Spektrum im Rahmen von regulierten Frequenzversteigerungen. In einer solchen Situation hat der Betreiber ein starkes Interesse daran, das neue Spektrum mithilfe von Carrier Aggregation mit dem bestehenden Spektrum zu kombinieren.

Derzeit gibt es jedoch keine offene, standardisierte Schnittstelle für die Carrier Aggregation zwischen zwei Anbietern, so dass Betreiber bei zukünftigen Spektrumserweiterungen von den Anbietern abhängig bleiben. Daher sind Betreiber gezwungen, sich für Spektrumserweiterungen auf ihre bestehenden Anbieter zu verlassen, wodurch sie an Verhandlungsmacht und Kontrolle über die Netzwerkentwicklung verlieren und von den Funktionen, der Leistung und den Zeitplänen abhängig werden, die von ihren Anbietern vorgegeben werden. Proprietäre Schnittstellen für die Carrier Aggregation existieren seit LTE–Zeiten und sind für Implementierungen in entsprechenden Anwendungen gut bekannt. Obwohl eine offene Schnittstelle für die Carrier Aggregation von vielen Betreibern wiederholt in Standardisierungsorganisationen wie 3GPP vorgeschlagen wurde, stieß dieser Vorschlag auf den Widerstand traditioneller Anbieter. Eine offene Spezifikation zur Unterstützung der Carrier Aggregation in Multi–Vendor–Umgebungen wird das 5G–Ökosystem weiter öffnen und den Weg für neue Funktionen und Dienste mit geringer Latenz für 6G ebnen, indem eine Echtzeitkommunikation zwischen Endgeräten ermöglicht wird, die heute noch nicht existiert.

Hinweise für Redakteure:

Der technische Bericht der O–RAN ALLIANCE „Spectrum Aggregation for Multi–Vendor Deployments“ steht jetzt zum Download bereit: https://specifications.o–ran.org/download?id=715

Über Mavenir

Mavenir baut die Zukunft der Netzwerke schon heute mit cloudnativen, KI–fähigen Lösungen auf, die von Grund auf umweltfreundlich sind und es den Betreibern ermöglichen, die Vorteile von 5G zu nutzen und intelligente, automatisierte und programmierbare Netzwerke zu realisieren. Als Pionier des Open RAN und bewährter Branchenumgestalter sorgen die preisgekrönten Lösungen von Mavenir für Automatisierung und Monetarisierung in Mobilfunknetzen weltweit und beschleunigen die Transformation von Software–Netzwerken für über 300 Kommunikationsdienstanbieter in über 120 Ländern, die mehr als 50 % der weltweiten Abonnenten bedienen. Weitere Informationen finden Sie unter www.mavenir.com

Medienkontakte

Mavenir – PR–Kontakte:
Emmanuela Spiteri
PR@mavenir.com


GLOBENEWSWIRE (Distribution ID 9263732)

Mavenir salue le rapport de l’O-RAN ALLIANCE sur l’agrégation de spectre dans les déploiements multi-fournisseurs

RICHARDSON, Texas, 29 oct. 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Mavenir, le fournisseur d’infrastructures basées sur le cloud qui bâtit les réseaux de demain, salue aujourd’hui la publication d’un nouveau rapport technique de l’O–RAN ALLIANCE, « Spectrum Aggregation for Multi–Vendor Deployments », qui évalue de multiples techniques d’agrégation de spectre et propose un support de spécification d’interface ouverte entre les DU pour l’agrégation de porteuses dans les déploiements multi–fournisseurs.

Le rapport de l’O–RAN ALLIANCE, initié et dirigé par Mavenir, présente les scénarios pratiques d’agrégation de spectre entre les équipements de plusieurs fournisseurs d’équipements de réseau, en comparant différentes approches, et inclut une recommandation pour le développement de spécifications pour l’agrégation de porteuses dans le cadre d’un déploiement RAN multi–fournisseurs. La solution d’agrégation de porteuses utilisant une interface ouverte entre les DU a obtenu un soutien important de la part des opérateurs et des fournisseurs pour poursuivre le développement des spécifications au sein de l’O–RAN ALLIANCE.

Sridhar Rajagopal, vice–président principal des technologies d’accès chez Mavenir et rapporteur du rapport technique, a déclaré : « Le présent rapport de l’O–RAN ALLIANCE, comportant une liste de recommandations utiles sur l’agrégation de porteuses multi–fournisseurs, arrive à un moment particulièrement opportun pour l’Open RAN, alors que les discussions sur le spectre se poursuivent pour étendre les déploiements de la 5G et que la 6G se profile à l’horizon. La standardisation de l’interface entre les DU pour l’agrégation de porteuses multi–fournisseurs permettra d’éliminer la dépendance à l’égard d’un seul fournisseur et changera la donne pour l’Open RAN. »

L’agrégation de porteuses sur l’ensemble du spectre disponible est l’une des principales considérations des opérateurs pour optimiser la largeur de bande, augmenter le débit et améliorer les performances du réseau. Au fil du temps, un opérateur se voit attribuer de nouvelles fréquences dans le cadre d’une vente réglementaire de fréquences. Dans une telle situation, l’opérateur souhaite vivement combiner le nouveau spectre à son spectre existant à l’aide de l’agrégation de porteuses.

Cependant, à ce jour, il n’existe pas d’interface standardisée ouverte pour l’agrégation de porteuses entre deux fournisseurs, ce qui rend les opérateurs dépendants des fournisseurs pour toute expansion future de leur spectre. Contraints de s’en remettre à leurs partenaires existants pour l’extension du spectre, les opérateurs perdent leur pouvoir de négociation et leur contrôle sur l’évolution du réseau tout en devenant dépendants des caractéristiques, des performances et des délais imposés par ces derniers. Les interfaces propriétaires pour l’agrégation de porteuses existent depuis les débuts du LTE pour l’agrégation de porteuses dans les déploiements et sont bien maîtrisées pour les mises en œuvre. Bien qu’une interface ouverte pour l’agrégation de porteuses ait été proposée à plusieurs reprises par de nombreux opérateurs dans des organismes de standardisation tels que le 3GPP, elle n’a pas été couronnée de succès en raison de la résistance des fournisseurs traditionnels. Une spécification ouverte pour la prise en charge de l’agrégation de porteuses multi–fournisseurs élargira davantage l’écosystème 5G et ouvrira la voie à de nouvelles fonctions et de nouveaux services à faible latence pour la 6G en permettant une communication en temps réel entre les DU, laquelle n’existe pas à l’heure actuelle.

Notes à l’attention des rédacteurs :

Le rapport technique de l’O–RAN ALLIANCE, « Spectrum Aggregation for Multi–Vendor Deployments », est désormais disponible au téléchargement à l’adresse suivante : https://specifications.o–ran.org/download?id=715

À propos de Mavenir

Mavenir bâtit aujourd’hui les réseaux de demain grâce à des solutions basées sur le cloud et à l’IA, qui sont écologiques de par leur conception et qui permettent aux opérateurs de tirer parti des avantages de la 5G et de mettre en place des réseaux intelligents, automatisés et programmables. En tant que pionnier de l’Open RAN et innovateur du secteur, Mavenir et ses solutions primées assurent l’automatisation et la monétisation des réseaux mobiles dans le monde entier, accélérant la transformation des réseaux logiciels auprès de plus de 300 fournisseurs de services de communication dans plus de 120 pays, qui desservent plus de 50 % des abonnés dans le monde. Pour en savoir plus, rendez–vous sur www.mavenir.com

Contacts médias

Contact Relations publiques de Mavenir :
Emmanuela Spiteri
PR@mavenir.com


GLOBENEWSWIRE (Distribution ID 9263732)

Scientific Research Can Play a Key Role in Unlocking Climate Finance

More than 700 authors representing 90 different nationalities written the AR6 for IPCC | Credit: Margaret López/IPS

More than 700 authors representing 90 different nationalities written the AR6 for IPCC | Credit: Margaret López/IPS

By Margaret López
CARACAS, Oct 29 2024 – Climate finance will be at the epicenter of the discussion at the UN Climate Change Conference 2024 (COP29). The focus will be on strengthening the fund and defining the conditions under which the countries of the Global South will be able to access this money. However, little is said about the scientific research that is required to gather the evidence and data to prove the loss and damage caused by the impact of climate change in developing countries.

One of the points under discussion is the need for countries of the Global South to provide comprehensive, scientifically backed reports on how they are being directly affected by the impacts of climate change. This requirement guarantees that money will flow to the most affected countries, but it ignores the inequality present in scientific research networks in the Global South.

Floods and the effects of storms or hurricanes are not the only topics we are discussing.  For example, will Latin American countries, such as Brazil or Argentina, be ready to provide data and evidence of how global warming precipitated an increase in dengue cases among their citizens in 2024?

Dengue cases in Latin America tripled compared to the same period in 2023. The Pan American Health Organization (PAHO) compiled reports of more than 12 million cases of dengue fever in the region up to middle October and, undoubtedly, this additional health burden is part of the less talked about impacts of climate change.

Research centers in Brazil or Argentina, two of the countries with the best scientific networks in the region, can surely deliver the studies to support a financial request to cover these health-related damages. But the scenario is very different if we look at the scientific networks of other Latin American countries such as Colombia, Ecuador, Peru, Paraguay, or my native Venezuela.

More than 3,000 Venezuelan scientists have left the country for lack of support and financial problems in its laboratories since 2009, according to the follow-up done by researcher Jaime Requena, a member of the Academy of Physical, Mathematical and Natural Sciences (Acfiman, its acronym in Spanish). This is equivalent to half of the Venezuelan scientific force, considering that Venezuela had 6,831 active researchers in the Researcher Promotion Program (PPI) in 2009.

Only 11 Venezuelan scientists participated as authors in all the reports of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). In AR6, the most recent IPCC report, only three authors were Venezuelan.

Colombia, Peru, and Uruguay were also represented by three researchers in AR6, while other countries such as Paraguay and Bolivia did not even manage to add a scientist to the group of more than 700 authors.

Climatologist Paola Andrea Arias was part of the Colombian representation. She is one of those promoting that the IPCC broaden the diversity of authors in the next report on the effects of climate change in the world.

“We all do science with different perspectives; we will follow the same methods and the same standards, but we have different perspectives. We ask different questions and have different priorities. We see in science the possibility of answering or solving different problems and, obviously, that will be very focused on your reality, the world in which you live, the country or city where you are,” said Arias when I asked her about her participation in AR6.

The low participation of Latin American scientists in global research on climate change, such as that of the IPCC, also means less space and dissemination for those studies that try to track the impacts of climate change in the region. This pattern is also repeated in Africa and Asia.

Promoting more research on the damages and impacts of climate change in the Global South, in the end, is not something that can be separated from climate finance. A clear example is that the Development Bank of Latin America (CAF) has just created a scientific committee for its biodiversity conservation fund, as announced during COP16 on biodiversity in Cali, Colombia.

CAF explained that this new biodiversity committee will have “a key role” with recommendations based on scientific evidence to invest in environmental projects. The first tasks of this scientific committee will be focused on providing recommendations for conservation, restoration, and sustainable use of ecosystems in the Amazon, Cerrado, and Chocó, a program that will have access to 300 million dollars.

The creation of a scientific committee to deliver climate finance can be a first step, as shown by CAF’s experience in biodiversity. To move forward on this path, however, it is necessary to promote more funding for Latin American, African, and Asian scientists to do more local research on the impacts of climate change. It’s the only way to gather the scientific evidence to support the contention that the climate crisis represents an obstacle to development in those countries with the largest populations and the greatest number of disadvantages.

This opinion piece is published with the support of Open Society Foundations.
IPS UN Bureau Report

 


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Mavenir Welcomes O-RAN ALLIANCE Report for Spectrum Aggregation in Multi-Vendor Deployments

RICHARDSON, Texas, Oct. 29, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Mavenir, the cloud–native network infrastructure provider building the future of networks, today welcomes the publication of a new Technical Report by the O–RAN ALLIANCE, ‘Spectrum Aggregation for Multi–Vendor Deployments’, that evaluates multiple spectrum aggregation techniques and proposes an open interface specification support between DUs for carrier aggregation in multi–vendor deployments.

The O–RAN ALLIANCE report – which was initiated and led by Mavenir – sets out the practical scenarios for spectrum aggregation across equipment from multiple network equipment vendors comparing different approaches and includes a recommendation for specification development for carrier aggregation in multi–vendor RAN deployment. The carrier aggregation solution using an open interface between DUs has gathered significant support from operators and vendors to pursue specification development within the O–RAN ALLIANCE.

Commenting on the report, Dr. Sridhar Rajagopal, Senior Vice President, Access Technologies for Mavenir and rapporteur for the technical report, said: “This report from the O–RAN ALLIANCE, with its welcome set of recommendations on multi–vendor carrier aggregation, could not come at a more pivotal time for Open RAN as spectrum discussions continue for expanding 5G deployments and with 6G on the horizon. Standardizing the interface between DUs for multi–vendor carrier aggregation will remove single vendor stickiness and will be a game changer for Open RAN.”

Carrier aggregation across available spectrum is one of the key considerations by operators to maximize bandwidth, boost throughput, and improve network performance. An operator obtains new spectrum during regulatory spectrum sale over time. In such a situation, there is a strong desire by the operator to combine the new spectrum with their existing spectrum using carrier aggregation.

However, there is no open standardized interface that exists today for carrier aggregation between two vendors, creating vendor stickiness to operators for all future spectrum expansions. Thus, operators are forced to rely on their incumbents for spectrum expansion, losing negotiating power and control over network evolution while becoming dependent on features, performance and timelines as dictated by their incumbents. Proprietary interfaces for carrier aggregation have existed since LTE days for carrier aggregation in deployments and are well understood for implementations. While an open interface for carrier aggregation has been proposed multiple times in standard bodies such as 3GPP by many operators, it has not been successful due to resistance from traditional vendors. An open specification for multi–vendor carrier aggregation support will open–up the 5G eco–system further and provide a pathway for new low latency features and services for 6G by enabling real–time communication between DUs that does not exist today.

Notes to the editor:

Technical Report by the O–RAN ALLIANCE, ‘Spectrum Aggregation for Multi–Vendor Deployments’, is now available for download: https://specifications.o–ran.org/download?id=715

About Mavenir

Mavenir is building the future of networks today with cloud–native, AI–enabled solutions which are green by design, empowering operators to realize the benefits of 5G and achieve intelligent, automated, programmable networks. As the pioneer of Open RAN and a proven industry disruptor, Mavenir’s award–winning solutions are delivering automation and monetization across mobile networks globally, accelerating software network transformation for 300+ Communications Service Providers in over 120 countries, which serve more than 50% of the world’s subscribers. For more information, please visit www.mavenir.com

Media Contacts

Mavenir PR Contacts:
Emmanuela Spiteri
PR@mavenir.com


GLOBENEWSWIRE (Distribution ID 9262948)

2ONE Labs Receives PMTA 'Acceptance' for 2ONE® Nicotine Pouch brand from FDA Center for Tobacco Products

LAKE TAHOE, Nev., Oct. 29, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — 2ONE Labs Inc., is pleased to announce the 'Acceptance' of its Premarket Tobacco Product Application (PMTA) submission by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration for its 2ONE® branded nicotine pouches.

Acknowledging receipt of the FDA ‘Acceptance’ notification, Vincent Schuman, CEO of 2ONE Labs, said: “This means the 2ONE® PMTA application will now move forward to the next important stage of FDA review. Our company will continue to fully fund this submission to a successful conclusion, and our wholesale, retail and sponsorship partners should take confidence in this ‘Acceptance’ as a sign of our ability to navigate this complex PMTA process, and of our unwavering commitment to support the long–term availability of the 2ONE® brand in the US market.”

Schuman added: “We created 2ONE® nicotine pouches for adult users (21+), who find it challenging to switch from combustible or traditional oral tobacco–leaf products. The availability of the 2ONE® brand in the market over the past 5 years, and the interest and growth our brand has achieved through strong retail partnerships, such as with CircleK®, has shown it is possible – even for innovative companies – to identify and introduce unique brands that truly offer adults the perfect switching product. We are encouraged by FDA’s acceptance of the 2ONE® PMTA submission and we look forward to continuing to support the needs of adult consumers switching from tobacco.”

2ONE® nicotine pouch products are offered in a variety of nicotine levels and satisfying flavors at over 18,000 retail outlets nationwide, and can be purchased online by adult consumers at: 21Pouches.com.

About 2ONE® Nicotine Pouches

2ONE Labs Inc.: Founded by pioneers in synthetic nicotine production, 2ONE Labs specializes in providing the most innovative tobacco–free nicotine products to adult consumers seeking an alternative to other tobacco products. For more information, contact 21Pouches.com. 2ONE® is a registered trademark of 2ONE Labs Inc., Lake Tahoe, NV. All Rights Reserved.

Source: 2ONE LABS INC.

Contact:
Vincent@21pouches.com


GLOBENEWSWIRE (Distribution ID 9263460)

Decisive action needed to achieve net zero by 2050, as world is currently on path for 2.5 ˚C to 3 ˚C global warming, according to Wood Mackenzie

LONDON and HOUSTON and SINGAPORE, Oct. 29, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — A string of global shocks has likely put 2030 emissions reduction targets out of reach. But with decisive action, there is still time to reach net zero emissions by 2050, according to Wood Mackenzie’s ‘Energy Transition Outlook’ report, a milestone assessment of the global journey towards a lower carbon future.

The new report analyses four different pathways for the energy and natural resources sector – Wood Mackenzie’s base case (2.5–degrees), country pledges scenario (2–degrees), net zero 2050 scenario (1.5–degrees) and delayed transition scenario (3–degrees).*

KEY FINDINGS:

  • US$78 trillion of cumulative investment required across power supply, grid infrastructure, critical minerals and emerging technologies and upstream to meet Paris Agreement goals.
  • Globally, energy demand is growing strongly due to rising incomes, population and the emergence of new sources of demand, including data centres and transport electrification.
  • Strong renewables growth is a certainty and this will continue under all scenarios modelled in this update. Renewables capacity grows two–fold by 2030 in the base case, short of the global pledge made at COP28 to triple renewables by 2030.
  • Oil and gas are projected to continue playing a role in the global energy system to 2050.
  • Innovation will improve the commerciality of carbon capture and low–carbon hydrogen and derivatives, driving uptake to 6 Btpa and 0.45 Btpa by 2050.
  • Policy certainty crucial to helping unlock demand for new technologies and increases capital flow into all segments, including supply chains and critical minerals.

“A string of shocks to global markets threaten to derail the progress in a decade pivotal to the energy transition. From the unresolved war between Russia and Ukraine to an escalated conflict in the Middle East, as well as rising populism in Europe and global trade tensions with China, the energy transition is in a precarious place and 2030 emissions reduction targets are slipping out of hand,” said Prakash Sharma, vice president, head of scenarios and technologies for Wood Mackenzie. “However, there is still time for the world to reach net zero emissions by 2050 – provided decisive action is taken now. Failure to do so risks putting even a 2 ˚C goal out of reach, potentially increasing warming to 2.5 ˚C – 3 ˚C trajectory.

“We are under no illusion as to how challenging the net zero transition will be, given the fact that fossil fuels are widely available, cost–competitive and deeply embedded in today’s complex energy system,” added Sharma. “A price on carbon maybe the most effective way to drive emissions reduction but it’s hard to see it coming together in a polarised environment. We believe that these challenges are overcome with policy certainty and global cooperation to double annual investments in energy supply to US$3.5 trillion by 2050 in our net zero scenario.”

Electrification is the accelerated route to energy efficiency and peak emissions
The electrification of the energy system is the central plank of the energy transition. In Wood Mackenzie’s base case, displacing fossil fuels with more energy–efficient electricity leads to global emissions peaking in 2027 and subsequently falling by 35% through to 2050.

Global final energy demand is projected to grow by up to 14% by 2050. For emerging economies with rising populations and prosperity, growth is 45%, whereas demand in developed economies peaks in the early 2030s and enters a decline. The reshoring of manufacturing (supply chains, cleantech, semi–conductor chips), green hydrogen and electric vehicles support demand growth, particularly in the US and Europe. Artificial intelligence and the build–out of data centres are new growth sectors, increasing electricity consumption from 500 TWh in 2023 to up to 4,500 TWh by 2050.

“While electrification is at the heart of energy security, the quick expansion of electricity supply is often constrained by transmission infrastructure which takes time to permit and build,” said Sharma. “Recognising these challenges, we modelled different electrification rates in our energy modelling. Electricity’s share of final energy demand steadily rises from 23% today to 35% by 2050 in our base case. And, in an accelerated transition such as our net zero scenario, the share of electricity increases to 55% by 2050.”   

The relentless rise of renewables has implications for gas
The share of solar and wind in global power supply increased from 4.5% in 2015 to 17% in 2024.

Strong renewables growth is a certainty in the energy transition, and this will continue under all scenarios modelled in this update. Renewables capacity grows two–fold by 2030 in the base case, short of the global pledge made at COP28 to triple renewables by 2030.

Solar is the biggest contributor of renewable electricity, followed by wind, nuclear (including large and small reactors) and hydro. Together, renewables’ share rises from 41% today to up to 58% by 2030 and up to 90% by 2050, depending on the scenario. “But any number of challenges – from the supply chain, critical minerals supply, permitting and power grid expansion – could dampen aspirations for renewables capacity,” said Sharma.

Energy transition technologies are three–to–five times more metals intensive and often require different materials than legacy commodities, such as lithium, nickel, cobalt and rare earth elements. Battery demand rises five– to ten–fold in the base case and net zero scenario, respectively, by 2050.

Meanwhile, nuclear’s ability to supply zero–carbon electricity round–the–clock is finding favour with technology companies building data centres capacity. Policy support for both new power projects and uranium supply has expanded over the past year. The opportunity is huge, but the nuclear industry will need to overcome its cost and chronic project delays to stay competitive with other forms of power generation. Wood Mackenzie projects nuclear capacity to double in its base case and triple in its net zero scenario by 2050, compared with 383 GW last year.

Fossil fuels plateau and then begin to decline in the 2040s
“Despite strong growth in renewables, the transition has been slower than expected in certain areas because many low–carbon technologies are not yet mature, scalable, or affordable,” said Sharma. “A key constraint is the high cost of low–carbon hydrogen, CCUS, SMR nuclear, long–duration energy storage, and geothermal. Capital intensity is high, but the business case is weak without incentives.”

This challenge comes at a time of strong energy demand growth. As renewables alone will not be able to meet future energy needs in most markets, oil and gas is projected to continue playing a role in the global energy system to 2050.

Challenges in commercialising low–carbon energy development come at a time of strong energy demand growth. Renewables alone will not be able to meet future energy needs in most markets. Oil and gas are, therefore, projected to continue playing a role in the global energy system to 2050.

“Our analysis shows that with demand resilient, investment in upstream will be needed for at least the next 10 to 15 years to offset the natural depletion in onstream supply,” said Sharma. “Capital requirements for oil and gas increase significantly in the delayed transition scenario, in which costs of new technologies fall slowly, and policy support remains muted.

Meanwhile, liquids demand peaks at 106 mb/d by 2030 in the base case, but that comes with a 12% variation on either side, depending on the scenario. That highlights the degree of uncertainty for the oil and gas industry, driven by the pace of penetration of EVs in road transport, e–fuels in shipping and aviation, and industrial heat pumps. Demand stays high at 100 mb/d levels until 2047 in the delayed transition scenario but in a net zero world, falls rapidly to 32 mb/d by 2050.

Innovation improves commerciality of carbon capture and hydrogen
More than 1,200 projects have been announced in both the CCUS and hydrogen sectors in the past five years. However, few have taken FID yet due to a lack of policy certainty and high costs. Projects moving into development have an equity–adjusted IRR of well below cost of capital without subsidies. In contrast, upstream oil and gas projects remain attractive at 15% IRR or even higher at an industry planning price of US$65/bbl Brent long–term. Capital allocation and finance continue to favour oil and gas projects in the base case.

The dynamics change completely under the pledges and net zero scenarios, where a combination of higher carbon prices and faster cost declines of new technologies erodes the competitiveness of fossil fuels. This results in higher demand for low–carbon energy sources and improved profitability.

As a result, uptake for carbon capture and low–carbon hydrogen will climb to 6 Btpa and 0.45 Btpa by 2050.

A crucial decade ahead
The first global stocktake (GST), concluded at COP28 in November 2023, required that countries raise their ambitions in the next round of nationally determined contributions (NDC) submissions, due in 2025. The GST also found that no major country was on track to meet its 2030 goals. That leaves an opportunity both for course correction in the next NDC round and for higher emissions–reduction goals for 2035.

The GST emphasised the importance of protecting land ecosystem and addressing biodiversity loss, including by halting and reversing deforestation by 2030.

“But this will not be easy without increased cooperation at the COP29 meeting in Azerbaijan in November 2024,” said Sharma. “Key issues include finalising Article 6 of carbon markets and setting a new global climate finance goal that replaces the existing US$100 billion a year. That figure was not achieved until 2022 and is considered grossly insufficient to meet the needs of the developing countries.

“Strengthened NDCs and global cooperation will be crucial to mobilise US$3.5 trillion annual investment into low–carbon energy supply and infrastructure, including critical minerals. If these challenges can’t be overcome, the goal of net zero emissions by 2050 will not be achieved. Among the implications of a delayed transition are the worsening effects of global warming that will force governments not only to invest in mitigation but spend much more on adaptation.”        

EDITOR’S NOTES

About Wood Mackenzie’s Energy Transition Outlook analysis
Wood Mackenzie’s Energy Transition Outlook report (part of our Energy Transition Service) maps four different routes through the energy transition with increasing levels of ambition – but also difficulty and investment. They are our independent assessment of what it would take to deliver on countries’ announced net zero pledges and potential outcomes for the planet.

You can read more information here and a copy of the analysis is available on request.

Definition of scenarios:
Base case – Wood Mackenzie’s base case view across all commodity and technology business units – our central, most likely outcome.
Country pledges scenario – Wood Mackenzie’s scenario on how country pledges may be implemented in the future. The 2˚C trajectory aligns with the upper temp limit from the Paris Agreement.
Net zero 2050 scenario – Wood Mackenzie’s scenario on how a 1.5˚C world may play out over the next 25 years. Carbon emissions align with the most ambitious goal of the 2015 ​Paris Agreement.
Delayed transition scenario – Assumes a five–year delay to global decarbonisation efforts due to geopolitics and reduced policy support to new technologies.

For further information please contact Wood Mackenzie’s media relations team:

Mark Thomton
+1 630 881 6885
Mark.thomton@woodmac.com

Hla Myat Mon
+65 8533 8860  
hla.myatmon@woodmac.com 

The Big Partnership (UK PR agency)
woodmac@bigpartnership.co.uk

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About Wood Mackenzie

Wood Mackenzie is the global insight business for renewables, energy and natural resources. Driven by data. Powered by people. In the middle of an energy revolution, businesses and governments need reliable and actionable insight to lead the transition to a sustainable future. That’s why we cover the entire supply chain with unparalleled breadth and depth, backed by over 50 years’ experience in natural resources. Today, our team of over 2,000 experts operate across 30 global locations, inspiring customers’ decisions through real–time analytics, consultancy, events and thought leadership. Together, we deliver the insight they need to separate risk from opportunity and make bold decisions when it matters most. For more information, visit woodmac.com.

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GLOBENEWSWIRE (Distribution ID 1001009949)

Tropo Farms secures $10m from AgDevCo to expand tilapia fish production in Ghana

ACCRA, Ghana and LONDON, Oct. 29, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Specialist agriculture investor AgDevCo has signed a long–term investment with Tropo Farms, the leading tilapia fish producer in West Africa and among the largest in Sub–Saharan Africa. Tropo Farms employs 917 people and supplies fish to the local market through about 3,000 market traders, the majority of whom are women.

Ghana has one of the highest fish consumption rates in Africa, consuming over 800,000 tonnes per year. This investment will boost the country’s aquaculture industry to satisfy the growing local demand for high quality, affordable fish as a sustainable alternative to wild catch and imports.

Tropo Farms is a pioneer in African aquaculture. Established by founder Mark Amechi in 1997, Tropo has developed sophisticated aquaculture practices tailored for local conditions.

AgDevCo’s investment of $10m will finance the construction of a modern processing facility and other production equipment. This will increase the company’s capacity to 30,000 tonnes within five years, contributing to improved nutrition and food security in Ghana.

Tropo sees opportunities for further aquaculture projects in West Africa, which it plans to pursue with AgDevCo and other strategic co–investors.

“Investing in Tropo Farms supports production of an important protein source in Ghana, contributes to import substitution and promotes economic growth. Our investment will enhance operational efficiency and sustainable aquaculture practices,” said Kweku Koranteng, AgDevCo’s Investment Director for West Africa.

“This loan is a major milestone for Tropo Farms. It will expand our logistics and distribution network while bringing more benefits to the communities where we operate. We are pleased to partner with AgDevCo, who brings flexible long–term capital to support our growth, as well as agribusiness expertise,” said Francisco Murillo, Tropo Farms CEO.

Mark Amechi, founder of Tropo Farms, added: “This agreement will not only enable us to scale our production volume and market share within Ghana but also represents a critical step toward realising our long–held ambitions of expanding further into the underdeveloped West African aquaculture sector.”

AgDevCo is a specialist investor in African agriculture, growing sustainable and impactful agribusiness, with $280m under management. Their vision is a thriving commercial agriculture sector, which benefits both people and planet by investing in and supporting agribusinesses to grow, create jobs, produce, and process food and link farmers to markets. They support their partners to work towards climate sustainability, and where possible, regenerative solutions. AgDevCo has made more than 65 investments to date.

Contact details for media:

Kweku Koranteng, info@agdevco.com

A photo accompanying this announcement is available at https://www.globenewswire.com/NewsRoom/AttachmentNg/9d3424eb–7995–475e–9db9–9c4d9e33964c


GLOBENEWSWIRE (Distribution ID 1001010025)

Chickens as Well as Cheetahs: Biodiversity Conservation Must Also Include Livestock

Woman farmer with her chicken, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia. Credit: ILRI/Apollo Habtamu

By Christian Tiambo
CALI, Colombia, Oct 29 2024 – As the UN’s COP16 biodiversity conference continues, the temptation is to focus on the wild flora and fauna under threat.

But there is another, less obvious yet just as critical biodiversity crisis unfolding around the world that also deserves attention.

A quarter of livestock breeds – from chickens, ducks and geese to horses, camels and cattle – are classified at risk of extinction. Even more concerning is the fact that a lack of data means the status of more than 50 per cent of breeds remains unknown. More than 200 livestock breeds have gone extinct since 2000, some without having ever been recorded.

Just 40 out of thousands of species of mammals and birds have been domesticated for food and agriculture yet these domesticated food-producing animals contribute an average of 40 per cent of the world’s agricultural gross domestic product. Eight of these species provide more than 95 per cent of the human food supply from livestock.

The erosion of local and locally adapted livestock diversity poses an especially serious threat to developing countries, where livestock-keeping generates as much as 80 per cent of agricultural GDP, providing much-needed food, fibre, fuel and draught power.

A shrinking pool of commercially improved livestock provides increasingly limited potential for animals to support food security, economic growth, climate adaptation and even ecosystem services that protect biodiversity more broadly. Maintaining agricultural biodiversity is essential for diverse, healthy diets and resilient, diversified forms of rural livelihoods.

It is therefore vital that negotiators at COP16 include livestock as well as wildlife in their National Biodiversity Strategies and Adaptation Plans (NBSAPs), including agreements to compensate countries for indigenous livestock DNA sequences.

As a minimum, countries should include specific targets for protecting livestock breeds within their NBSAPs to help enshrine the preservation of genetic diversity.

Setting actionable targets is a fundamental step towards maintaining a rich variety of livestock breeds, which is essential for breeding more resilient, heat tolerant and healthy animals.

The ability to improve livestock and make use of the locally adapted characteristics of indigenous breeds is becoming increasingly valuable as the impacts of climate change threaten conventional and exotic breeds. The diversity of local, locally adapted and non-conventional livestock constitute an essential resource that will ensure animal production is able to adapt to climate change, respond to new market opportunities and deal with new disease threats.

For example, the hardy Red Maasai sheep that is indigenous to East Africa and can cope with arid and hot conditions, was on the brink of extinction after many farmers replaced their flocks with South Africa’s Dorper breed to produce more meat. But unlike the Red Maasai, Dorper sheep are less able to thrive in drought conditions. Thankfully, the preservation of the Red Maasai by researchers at the International Livestock Research Institute’s (ILRI) Kapiti Research Station has supported their reintroduction, as well as crossbreeding programs to harness the beneficial traits of both.

Plans to compensate countries for recording such genetic resources, known as digital sequence information, and the associated traditional knowledge, must include livestock so that countries across Africa and the Global South can benefit and use this funding to re-invest in livestock conservation.

Countries should also include protections for the conservation of forages that feed livestock and wild herbivores in their NBSAPs. This is equally important for identifying resilient and low-emissions crops that can meet the nutritional needs of livestock.

Koronivia grass, for example, is native to Africa and is among the collection of germplasm stored at the Future Seeds genebank in Colombia. Breeders produced an improved variety of the grass that was shown to increase levels of soil carbon on tropical savannas by 15 per cent while also reducing nitrous oxide (N2O) emissions from grazing cattle by a factor of 10.

Leveraging the full range of the world’s biodiversity can unlock improved breeds and varieties of forages to support sustainable livestock production and maximise its benefits for human development.

Alongside such protections for genetic resources and agricultural biodiversity, governments should also include sustainable livestock production within their NBSAPs to support rangeland restoration and achieve their biodiversity goals.

Livestock systems that integrate sustainable practices like managed grazing can enhance soil health, increase carbon sequestration, and promote ecosystem diversity while generating emissions that are comparable to wild herbivores.

For example, livestock manure already provides 14 per cent of the nitrogen used for crop production globally and a quarter of that used for crop production on mixed crop-and-livestock farms. These closed nutrient cycles replenish soils with nitrogen while also enhancing soil structure and organic matter, improving the nutrient- and water-holding capacities of soils and reducing soil erosion.

The natural world thrives when the balance of biodiversity is maintained, and this includes local and non-conventional livestock as well as wild animals.

For the countries where the right livestock breeds can determine hunger or health, poverty or prosperity, it is essential that the biodiversity talks include cattle, pigs and chickens alongside pandas, rhinos and cheetahs.

To fully take advantage of the diversity of livestock, the global community must conserve genetic resources and put them to use to enable communities to cope with climate change, meet changing market demands, resist diseases, and enhance global food security.

Dr. Christian Tiambo, International Livestock Research Institute (ILRI)

IPS UN Bureau

 


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This Is Not a Drill. Fascism Is on the Ballot. But…

Donald J. Trump, President of the United States, addresses the UN General Assembly’s 75th session September 2020. Credit: UN Photo/Rick Bajornas

By Norman Solomon
SAN FRANCISCO, USA, Oct 29 2024 – The conclusion that Donald Trump is a fascist has gone mainstream, gaining wide publicity and affirmation in recent weeks. Such understanding is a problem for Trump and his boosters.

At the same time, potentially pivotal in this close election, a small proportion of people who consider themselves to be progressive still assert that any differences between Trump and Kamala Harris are not significant enough to vote for Harris in swing states. Opposition to fascism has long been a guiding light in movements against racism and for social justice.

Speaking to a conference of the African National Congress in 1951, Nelson Mandela warned that “South African capitalism has developed [into] monopolism and is now reaching the final stage of monopoly capitalism gone mad, namely, fascism.”

Before Fred Hampton was murdered by local police officers colluding with the FBI in 1969, the visionary young Illinois Black Panther Party leader said: “Nothing is more important than stopping fascism, because fascism will stop us all.”

But now, for some who lay claim to being on the left, stopping fascism is not a priority. Disconnected from the magnitude of this fateful moment, the danger of a fascist president leading a fanatical movement becomes an abstraction.

One cogent critic of capitalism ended a column in mid-October this way: “Pick your poison. Destruction by corporate power or destruction by oligarchy. The end result is the same. That is what the two ruling parties offer in November. Nothing else.”

The difference between a woman’s right to an abortion vs. abortion being illegal is nothing?

“The end result is the same” — so it shouldn’t matter to us whether Trump becomes president after campaigning with a continuous barrage against immigrants, calling them “vermin,” “stone-cold killers,” and “animals,” while warning against the “bad genes” of immigrants who aren’t white, and raising bigoted alarms about immigration of “blood thirty criminals” who “prey upon innocent American citizens” and will “cut your throat”?

If “the end result is the same,” a mish-mash of ideology and fatalism can ignore the foreseeable results of a Republican Party gaining control of the federal government with a 2024 platform that pledges to “carry out the largest deportation operation in American history.” Or getting a second Trump term after the first one allowed him to put three right-wing extremists on the Supreme Court.

Will the end result be the same if Trump fulfills his apparent threat to deploy the U.S. military against his political opponents, whom he describes as “radical left lunatics” and “the enemy from within”?

Capacities to protect civil liberties matter. So do savage Republican cuts in programs for minimal health care, nutrition and other vital aspects of a frayed social safety net. But those cuts are less likely to matter to the polemicists who will not experience the institutionalized cruelties firsthand.

Rather than being for personal absolution, voting is a tool in the political toolbox — if the goal is to avert the worst and improve the chances for constructing a future worthy of humanity.

Trump has pledged to be even more directly complicit in Israel’s mass murder of Palestinian people in Gaza than President Biden has been. No wonder, as the Washington Post reports, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu “has shown a clear preference for Trump in this election.” During a call this month, Trump told Netanyahu: “Do what you have to do.”

Palestinians, Muslim leaders and other activists in the swing state of Arizona issued an open letter days ago that makes a case for defeating Trump. “We know that many in our communities are resistant to vote for Kamala Harris because of the Biden administration’s complicity in the genocide,” the letter says. “We understand this sentiment.”

“Many of us have felt that way ourselves, even until very recently. Some of us have lost many family members in Gaza and Lebanon. We respect those who feel they simply can’t vote for a member of the administration that sent the bombs that may have killed their loved ones.”

The letter goes on:

As we consider the full situation carefully, however, we conclude that voting for Kamala Harris is the best option for the Palestinian cause and all of our communities. We know that some will strongly disagree. We only ask that you consider our case with an open mind and heart, respecting that we are doing what we believe is right in an awful situation where only flawed choices are available.

In our view, it is crystal clear that allowing the fascist Donald Trump to become President again would be the worst possible outcome for the Palestinian people. A Trump win would be an extreme danger to Muslims in our country, all immigrants, and the American pro-Palestine movement. It would be an existential threat to our democracy and our whole planet.

Exercising conscience in the most humane sense isn’t about feeling personal virtue. It’s about concern for impacts on the well-being of other people. It’s about collective solidarity.

The consequences of declining to help stop fascism are not confined to the individual voter. In the process, vast numbers of people can pay the price for individuals’ self-focused concept of conscience.

Last week, the insightful article “7 Strategic Axioms for the Anxious Progressive Voter” offered a forward-looking way to put this presidential election in a future context: “Vote for the candidate you want to organize against!”

Do we want to be organizing against a fascistic militaristic President Trump, with no realistic hope of changing policies . . . or against a neoliberal militaristic President Harris, with the possibility of changing policies?

For progressives, the answer should be clear.

Norman Solomon is the national director of RootsAction.org and executive director of the Institute for Public Accuracy. His latest book, War Made Invisible: How America Hides the Human Toll of Its Military Machine, was published in paperback this fall with a new afterword about the Gaza war.

IPS UN Bureau

 


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